I think anything can be forced to converge, but the problem is that products are about tradeoffs, and you begin to make tradeoffs to the point where what you have left at the end of the day doesn’t please anyone. You can converge a toaster and a refrigerator but y’know, those things are probably not going to be pleasing to the user.
Our view is that the tablet market is huge. And we’ve said that since day one, we didn’t wait until we had a lot of results. We were using them [at Apple], and it was already clear to us that there was so much you could do, and that the reasons that people would use these would be so broad.
And that’s precisely what we’ve seen, the iPad has taken off not only in consumer in a meaningful way, but in education, and in enterprise, and it’s sort of everywhere you look now.
The applications are so easy to make very meaningful for someone, and there’s such an abundance of those, that as the ecosystem gets better and better and as we continue to double-down on making great products, I think that the limit here is nowhere in sight.
We’ve now—through the last quarter, I should say, which is just two years after we shipped the initial iPad—we’ve sold 67 million. To put that in some context, it took us 24 years to sell that many Macs, and five years for that many iPods, and over three years for that many iPhones, and we were extremely happy with the trajectory on all of those products.
I think that iPad… it’s a profound product. The breadth of it is incredible, and the appeal is universal. I could not be happier with being in the market, and the level at which we’re innovating both the product and the ecosystem here is incredible.
Now in terms of the market itself, IDC and Gartner and Forrester has some numbers out there; I think Gartner is saying there’s somewhere around 325 [million tablet devices] or so by 2015, Forrester is 375 million, somewhere around there, and so basically they’re in the mid-300s which is about where the PC market is today, and 2015 is only three years from now.
I think even the more formal predictors outside of [Apple] are beginning to see these lines cross, and so I strongly believe that they will. Now, having said that, I also believe that there is a very good market for the MacBook Air and we continue to innovate in that product. But I do think that it appeals to someone that has a little bit different requirements.
You wouldn’t want to put these things together because you wind up compromising in both and not pleasing either user. Some people will prefer to own both, and that’s great too. But I think to make the compromises of convergence, we’re not going to that party. Others might, from a defensive point of view, particularly. But we’re going to play in both.
Things are not nearly as bad for Nintendo as they are for Sony, but this is obviously not good:
Nintendo will report on Thursday its first ever operating loss, after estimating a 45 billion yen deficit for the business year just ended.
I will always have a soft spot for Nintendo. In my opinion, they have by far the best game IP ever created. It’s not even close. And that’s why, as much as it pains me to say it, I think Nintendo will eventually have to head down the Sega path and move on from hardware to focus solely on software.
It’s well known that Mario/Zelda/etc creator Shigeru Miyamoto has no intention of letting this happen — like Apple, he strives to set the entire user experience through hardware and software — but it’s hard to see Nintendo focusing on gaming hardware and continuing on. Maybe they pull and Apple and fully reinvent the company, but there’s a reason why such transformations don’t happen often.
On the flipside, maybe I’m letting my dreams blind me a bit. I really, really, really want Mario and Zelda and Donkey Kong and all the other great Nintendo properties on iOS devices.
I will always have a soft spot for Nintendo. In my opinion, they have by far the best game IP ever created.
“If Twitter occupies the hyperverbal space in our shared Internet brain with bits of news, jokes, and news-jokes, Instagram falls in the hypervisual part, which revels in the bits of visual candy in the world around us. It combines the sharing of a social app with the emotion of a photo album, and sharing plus feelings equals sharing feelings—an activity neither Mark Zuckerberg nor his company are known for.”—http://m.newyorker.com/online/blogs/culture/2012/04/instagram-and-facebook.html
A week ago, I came home after a long night of drinking and wanted to vomit. It wasn’t the whiskey. It was the email.
I had been gone approximately 6 hours at an event and subsequent after-party. I didn’t check my email the entire time. When I came home, I had over 50 new emails in my inbox (this doesn’t include the ones I automatically archive thanks to Gmail filters). 50-some emails all of which I needed to take action on in some form or another.
Undoubtedly aided by the aforementioned drinks, I hit “Select All” and debatedhitting “Delete”. Not just for those 50-some emails. But for all 50,000+ that were sitting un-archived in my inbox. Then I thought better of it. Instead, I hit “Archive”.