“I don’t care how noisy the stream is. The more the better, actually. Until it gets so useless someone comes along and hops alongside it and surfs it, like a wave building as it nears the shore. It’s not that there’s necessarily some huge revelation just around the next tweet. It’s that there are wonderful souls and achingly precious children and silly love songs and the best breakfast place around and a roar of ideas and jockeying for position and routine power grabs and whatnot.
So here are my Top Ten predictions. the iPad, push notification, Chatter external groups, the Cloud, AirPlay Mirroring, Spotify, @mentions, and I can’t remember 5 or 6 either. Gillmor Gang is 7.”—http://t.co/sTFBz0xn
I notice that my wife enjoys using Facebook a lot more than she likes using Twitter. Why? Because the news and information is brought to her by people she actually cares about and has a personal connection with and now that Facebook has subscriptions she knows she can follow celebrities and news brands that she cares about too. Take that further. Will the next billion people sign up to get a river of stuff from Twitter? Maybe, but my guess is that Facebook and Google+ will get to a large percentage of those users first. Facebook, because the social graph is stronger, as Gurley states, and Google+, because the interest graph is stronger (after all, if you want something, or are interested in something, do you go to Google or Twitter first? Most people will head to Google.)
What Gurley should really worry about is noise. If those newer “non-tweeting” members follow too many brands and people they will quickly learn that what fills their screen is mostly crap (I can prove this because I actually use the product and watch how others use it) and until Twitter solves that it will be compared to Facebook and it will compare poorly, because Facebook removes noise.
That said, Twitter has something really strong going for it: it’s the signaler to the world and it’s one that everyone in my world (the tech world) is on. It’s just that, for the first time in its history, Twitter is seeing real competition and the extra users that were gifted to it by Apple’s choice may prove as unsatisfying or relevant as the followers that Twitter gifts certain accounts when added to the suggested user list.
“It is in this broad, non-friend based crowd-sourcing and speed of discovery where Twitter truly shines. A recent Tweet by famed sci-fi author William Gibson highlights this point. Having become accustomed to the non-linear speed of information flow on Twitter, Gibson grew frustrated watching news of the Osama bin Laden killing on TV: “Network news feels like trying to suck cold tar through a milkshake straw.””—http://t.co/76AaxIMb
“As our modern oligarchy, and as individual companies, Amazon, Apple, Facebook, and Google will not last forever. But despite this oncoming war, in which attacking one another becomes standard operating practice, their inevitable slide into irrelevancy likely won’t be at the hands of one of their fellow rivals. As always, the real future of tech belongs to some smart-ass kid in a Palo Alto garage.”—http://www.fastcompany.com/magazine/160/tech-wars-2012-amazon-apple-google-facebook
“What Siri represents is an extension of computing by utilizing something that (most) everyone has: voice. It’s the same thing with the touchscreens on the iPhone and iPad. They also utilize something that (most) everyone has: fingers. “If you see a stylus, they blew it,” Steve Jobs once famously said. And he was right. Why create something to distance yourself and the machine? In the past, these crutches were needed. We’re getting to the point where they aren’t anymore. Forget the mouse and keyboards, it’s touch and voice.”—http://t.co/SBHSbji3
» “for many users and companies it has become the default real-time information network, and it includes a form of lightweight identity that users seem to find more appealing in many cases than Facebook or Google”